Cole S, Cole J R, Simon G A
Science. 1981 Nov 20;214(4523):881-6. doi: 10.1126/science.7302566.
An experiment in which 150 proposals submitted to the National Science Foundation were evaluated independently by a new set of reviewers indicates that getting a research grant depends to a significant extent on chance. The degree of disagreement within the population of eligible reviewers is such that whether or not a proposal is funded depends in a large proportion of cases upon which reviewers happen to be selected for it. No evidence of systematic bias in the selection of NSF reviewers was found.
一项实验中，150份提交给美国国家科学基金会的提案由一组新的评审员独立评估，结果表明获得研究资助在很大程度上取决于运气。合格评审员群体中的分歧程度使得在很大一部分情况下，一份提案是否获得资助取决于碰巧被选中评审该提案的是哪些评审员。未发现美国国家科学基金会评审员选拔过程中存在系统性偏见的证据。
