Goldman N
Demography. 1981 Nov;18(4):659-79.
An analysis of marital histories from World Fertility Survey data in Colombia, Panama, and Peru indicates a high level of union dissolution: the probabilities of a first union ending by separation within twenty years of the onset of union equal .27, .40, and .18 in the three countries respectively. Dissolution probabilities are especially high among women with young ages at first union and among women residing in urban areas. For all subgroups studied, consensual unions are characterized by several times the risk of separation of legal marriages. Consensual unions are especially frequent among women in rural areas, women with little education and women who enter unions at young ages. The different prevalence of consensual unions among the different subgroups affects the associations between union stability and various correlates so that it becomes essential to investigate the factors affecting union stability for both consensual unions and legal marriages. In spite of high dissolution rates, remarriage rates in all three countries are also high, as are the percentages of time spent in a union. Hence, the potential effects of voluntary disruption of unions on fertility appear to be modest.
对哥伦比亚、巴拿马和秘鲁世界生育率调查数据中的婚姻史分析表明，结合关系解体的比例很高：在结合关系开始后的二十年内，首次结合关系因分居而结束的概率在这三个国家分别为0.27、0.40和0.18。在首次结合时年龄较小的女性以及居住在城市地区的女性中，解体概率尤其高。对于所有研究的亚组而言，事实婚姻的分居风险是合法婚姻的数倍。事实婚姻在农村地区女性、受教育程度低的女性以及年轻时进入结合关系的女性中尤为常见。不同亚组中事实婚姻的不同流行程度影响着结合关系稳定性与各种相关因素之间的关联，因此，研究影响事实婚姻和合法婚姻结合关系稳定性的因素变得至关重要。尽管解体率很高，但这三个国家的再婚率也很高，处于结合关系中的时间百分比也是如此。因此，自愿解除结合关系对生育率的潜在影响似乎不大。
