Pearson S B, Pearson E M, Mitchell J R
Postgrad Med J. 1981 Jul;57(669):419-24. doi: 10.1136/pgmj.57.669.419.
The authors have studied 352 emergency medical admissions during a summer period and 355 during the winter months to identify 177 patients who had been treated for breathlessness. Multiple and rapidly changing treatments have been taken to indicate diagnostic uncertainty. Using this model, the authors have shown that there is much more uncertainty in winter than in summer and that the working diagnosis of chest infection or asthma is particularly likely to be associated with multiple treatment. It is questionable whether the stereotyped descriptions of diseases in standard text books provide an adequate basis for emergency treatment decisions and it is considered that the diagnostic value of investigations such as chest radiography needs further careful scrutiny.
作者研究了夏季的352例急诊入院病例和冬季的355例急诊入院病例,以确定177例因呼吸急促接受治疗的患者。采取了多种且迅速变化的治疗方法,这表明诊断存在不确定性。通过该模型,作者表明冬季的不确定性比夏季大得多,并且胸部感染或哮喘的初步诊断特别可能与多种治疗相关。标准教科书中对疾病的刻板描述是否能为急诊治疗决策提供充分依据值得怀疑,并且认为胸部X光检查等检查的诊断价值需要进一步仔细审查。