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地方性传染病的积分方程模型。

Integral equation models for endemic infectious diseases.

作者信息

Hethcote H W, Tudor D W

出版信息

J Math Biol. 1980 Mar;9(1):37-47. doi: 10.1007/BF00276034.

DOI:10.1007/BF00276034
PMID:7365328
Abstract

Endemic infectious diseases for which infection confers permanent immunity are described by a system of nonlinear Volterra integral equations of convolution type. These constant-parameter models include vital dynamics (birth and deaths), immunization and distributed infectious period. The models are shown to be well posed, the threshold criteria are determined and the asymptotic behavior is analysed. It is concluded that distributed delays do not change the thresholds and the asymptotic behaviors of the models.

摘要

感染可赋予永久免疫力的地方性传染病,由一类卷积型非线性沃尔泰拉积分方程组来描述。这些常参数模型包括生命动态(出生和死亡)、免疫接种以及分布感染期。证明了这些模型是适定的,确定了阈值准则并分析了渐近行为。得出的结论是,分布时滞不会改变模型的阈值和渐近行为。

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An immunization model for a heterogeneous population.
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Identification of COVID-19 spread mechanisms based on first-wave data, simulation models, and evolutionary algorithms.基于第一波数据、仿真模型和进化算法识别 COVID-19 传播机制。
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An Epidemic Model with Time-Distributed Recovery and Death Rates.具有时变恢复和死亡率的传染病模型。
Bull Math Biol. 2022 Jun 28;84(8):78. doi: 10.1007/s11538-022-01028-0.
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Regional opening strategies with commuter testing and containment of new SARS-CoV-2 variants in Germany.德国的通勤者检测和新 SARS-CoV-2 变体控制的区域性开放策略。
BMC Infect Dis. 2022 Apr 4;22(1):333. doi: 10.1186/s12879-022-07302-9.
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Stability analysis of a nonlocal SIHRDP epidemic model with memory effects.具有记忆效应的非局部SIHRDP传染病模型的稳定性分析
Nonlinear Dyn. 2022;109(1):121-141. doi: 10.1007/s11071-022-07286-w. Epub 2022 Feb 23.
9
A modified Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model for observed under-reported incidence data.一种修正的易感-感染-恢复模型,用于观察到的低报告发病率数据。
PLoS One. 2022 Feb 9;17(2):e0263047. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0263047. eCollection 2022.
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The Hybrid Incidence Susceptible-Transmissible-Removed Model for Pandemics : Scaling Time to Predict an Epidemic's Population Density Dependent Temporal Propagation.大流行的混合发生率易感-可传播-消除模型:预测流行病的人口密度相关时间传播的缩放时间。
Acta Biotheor. 2022 Jan 29;70(1):10. doi: 10.1007/s10441-021-09431-1.