Whittemore A S, Korn E L
Am J Public Health. 1980 Jul;70(7):687-96. doi: 10.2105/ajph.70.7.687.
Daily asthma attack diaries of 16 panels of asthmatics residing in the Los Angeles area were collected by the Environmental Protection Agency for 34-week periods during the years 1972-1975. There data are examined here for the relationship between daily attack occurrence and daily levels of photochemical oxidant, total suspended particulates, minimum temperature, relative humidity, and average wind speed. A separate multiple logistic regression is used for each panelist's attack data. Variables representing the presence or absence of attack on the preceding day, as well as day of week and time since the start of the study, are included in the regressions. The most significant predictor of attacks was the presence of an attack on the preceding day. On the average, the panelists tended to have increased attacks on days with high oxidant and particulate pollution, on cool days, and during the first two months of the study. Panelists' attack propensity also differed by day of week; in particular they had more attacks on Saturdays (the last day of the weekly reporting period) than on Sundays. Each panelist's regression coefficients are classified according to age, sex, hay fever status, and self-assessed attack precursors; this classification is used to examine subgroups among the panelists with high coefficients corresponding to the above factors.
1972年至1975年期间,美国环境保护局收集了居住在洛杉矶地区的16组哮喘患者的每日哮喘发作日记,记录时长为34周。在此对这些数据进行研究,以考察每日哮喘发作次数与光化学氧化剂、总悬浮颗粒物、最低气温、相对湿度及平均风速的日水平之间的关系。针对每位参与研究人员的发作数据,分别采用多元逻辑回归分析。回归分析纳入了代表前一日是否发作的变量,以及星期几和研究开始后的时间等变量。发作的最显著预测因素是前一日是否发作。总体而言,参与研究人员在光化学氧化剂和颗粒物污染水平较高的日子、凉爽的日子以及研究开始后的头两个月,哮喘发作次数往往会增加。参与研究人员的发作倾向在一周内的不同日子也有所差异;特别是,他们在周六(每周报告期的最后一天)的发作次数比在周日更多。根据年龄、性别、花粉热状况和自我评估的发作先兆,对每位参与研究人员的回归系数进行分类;这种分类用于考察在上述因素方面回归系数较高的参与研究人员中的亚组情况。