Condon B R, Buchanan R, Garvie N W, Ackery D M, Fleming J, Taylor D, Hawkes D, Goddard B A
Br J Radiol. 1981 Jan;54(637):18-23. doi: 10.1259/0007-1285-54-637-18.
A serial study on 32 patients with bone metastases following cancer of the breast or prostate was performed over three years. Up to ten sets of images (average of four) per patient were obtained during this period using 99Tcm methylene diphosphonate as the radiopharmaceutical. Ninety-three paired serial images of individual lesions were qualitatively assessed for change by three physicians in nuclear medicine and the results were compared with the quantitative results from computer analysis. The reproducibility of the quantitative approach was determined by the analysis of 20 paired lesions by three physicists. It was found that quantitative changes in uptake of less than 20% between images were generally not detected by the medical observers; a change of 41% had only a 95% probability of being identified as change by the physicians. Although much more reproducible in determining changes in individual lesions, the quantitative approach was found to be inferior to the qualitative assessment of overall change in the majority of cases which involve multiple lesions. The basic assumption that uptake varies proportionally with progression of the bone lesion is discussed an is considered in some instances to be untenable. The conclusion is drawn that the determination of progression from changes of uptake in longstanding lesions is uncertain and is subsidiary in importance to the detection of new lesions.
对32例乳腺癌或前列腺癌骨转移患者进行了为期三年的系列研究。在此期间,以99锝亚甲基二膦酸盐作为放射性药物,为每位患者获取了多达十组图像(平均四组)。由三位核医学医生对93对单个病灶的系列图像进行定性评估,观察其变化,并将结果与计算机分析的定量结果进行比较。由三位物理学家对20对病灶进行分析,以确定定量方法的可重复性。结果发现,医学观察者通常无法检测到图像间摄取量小于20%的定量变化;摄取量变化41%时,医生识别为变化的概率仅为95%。虽然在确定单个病灶的变化方面,定量方法的可重复性更高,但发现在大多数涉及多个病灶的情况下,定量方法在评估整体变化方面不如定性评估。文中讨论了摄取量随骨病灶进展成比例变化这一基本假设,发现在某些情况下该假设站不住脚。得出的结论是,根据长期存在病灶摄取量的变化来确定病情进展并不确定,且在重要性上仅次于新病灶的检测。