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作为测试效度影响因素的测试管理方法:在癌症和冠心病预测中使用人格问卷。

Method of test administration as a factor in test validity: the use of a personality questionnaire in the prediction of cancer and coronary heart disease.

作者信息

Grossarth-Maticek R, Eysenck H J, Boyle G J

机构信息

European Center for Peace and Development, University for Peace (United Nations), Denmark Hill, London, England.

出版信息

Behav Res Ther. 1995 Jul;33(6):705-10. doi: 10.1016/0005-7967(94)00091-w.

Abstract

This study examines the predictive accuracy of four different methods of administration of a questionnaire designed to predict cancer and coronary heart disease (CHD) in healthy probands. The method of administration uses the establishment of trust and the explanation of questions as variables in all four possible combinations, i.e. trust and explanation, trust only, explanation only, and neither, the prediction being that the combination of trust and explanation would produce the most accurate prediction, the treatment using neither the worst prediction, with methods using either trust alone or explanation alone intermediate. The criterion was the successful prediction of cancer and CHD. A total population of 3563 men and women was used, and followed up over 15 years, death certificates being used to establish cause of death. As predicted, the combination of trust and explanation did best, use of neither worst. Explanation seemed more important than trust, and the combination seemed to have a synergistic effect. It is apparent that method of administration had an important effect on the outcome of the experiment.

摘要

本研究考察了四种不同问卷调查方式在健康受试者中预测癌症和冠心病(CHD)的准确性。这四种方式将建立信任和问题解释作为变量进行所有四种可能的组合,即信任与解释、仅信任、仅解释以及两者皆无,预测认为信任与解释的组合能产生最准确的预测结果,两者皆无的方式预测效果最差,仅信任或仅解释的方式预测效果居中。评判标准是对癌症和冠心病的成功预测。研究共纳入3563名男性和女性,并对其进行了15年的随访,通过死亡证明确定死亡原因。正如预测的那样,信任与解释的组合效果最佳,两者皆无的方式效果最差。解释似乎比信任更重要,且这种组合似乎具有协同效应。显然,问卷调查方式对实验结果有重要影响。

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