Schott J, Haberland J, Baier W K, Bergmann K E
Robert-Koch-Institut, Bundesinstitut für übertragbare und nichtübertragbare Krankheiten, Berlin.
Gesundheitswesen. 1995 Apr;57(4):223-8.
The article gives algorithms to calculate mean ages at death for specific causes, based on life table models. Parameters of interest are death due to a specific cause, dying after the "elimination" of the specific cause, or the transition into a "new" structure of mortality when a specific cause of death vanishes. The setbacks of widely used calculations are discussed in this context. These different approaches are demonstrated by means of data pertaining to accident and cardiovascular mortality of the male population of Berlin (West). The estimated impact on life expectancy varies according to both the mathematical model and the specific cause of death: differences are negligible in mortality due to accidents, whereas the results differ considerably in cardiovascular causes of death. The algorithm suggested allows to constrain the calculations to specific age groups. Topics such as "avoidable death" and "health objectives" have to be aware of these different methods.
本文给出了基于生命表模型计算特定病因死亡平均年龄的算法。关注的参数包括特定病因导致的死亡、在特定病因“消除”后死亡,或者当特定死因消失时死亡率向“新”结构的转变。在此背景下讨论了广泛使用的计算方法的不足之处。通过柏林(西)男性人口的事故和心血管死亡率相关数据展示了这些不同方法。对预期寿命的估计影响因数学模型和特定死因而异:事故导致的死亡率差异可忽略不计,而心血管死因的结果差异很大。所建议的算法允许将计算限制在特定年龄组。诸如“可避免死亡”和“健康目标”等主题必须了解这些不同方法。