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盲目估算:估算枪支伤害的成本。

Shooting in the dark: estimating the cost of firearm injuries.

作者信息

Max W, Rice D P

机构信息

Institute for Health and Aging, School of Nursing, University of California, San Francisco.

出版信息

Health Aff (Millwood). 1993 Winter;12(4):171-85. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.12.4.171.

Abstract

The cost of firearm injuries in the United States in 1990 was an estimated $20.4 billion. This includes $1.4 billion for direct expenditures for health care and related goods, $1.6 billion in lost productivity resulting from injury-related illness and disability, and $17.4 billion in lost productivity from premature death. While these are the best available national estimates, it is likely that they underestimate the economic impact of firearm injuries because they are based on relatively old data and on many assumptions necessitated by data gaps. The need for better data and improved estimates, and their policy relevance, are discussed.

摘要

1990年,美国枪支伤害造成的损失估计为204亿美元。这包括用于医疗保健及相关物品的直接支出14亿美元、因与伤害相关的疾病和残疾导致的生产力损失16亿美元,以及因过早死亡造成的生产力损失174亿美元。虽然这些是现有的最佳全国性估计,但很可能低估了枪支伤害的经济影响,因为它们基于相对陈旧的数据以及数据缺口所必需的许多假设。本文讨论了获取更好数据和改进估计的必要性及其政策相关性。

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