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排列(随机化)检验在临床与实验药理学及生理学中的优势。

Advantages of permutation (randomization) tests in clinical and experimental pharmacology and physiology.

作者信息

Ludbrook J

机构信息

University of Melbourne Department of Surgery, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, Victoria, Australia.

出版信息

Clin Exp Pharmacol Physiol. 1994 Sep;21(9):673-86. doi: 10.1111/j.1440-1681.1994.tb02570.x.

Abstract
  1. The statistical procedures that are used most commonly in clinical and experimental pharmacology and physiology are designed to test for differences between two means. 2. The classical procedures for detecting such differences are those in which, under the population model of inference, the test statistic is referred to the t- or F-distributions. The validity of statistical inferences from these tests depends on a number of assumptions. Foremost among these is that the experimental groups have been constructed by taking random samples from defined populations. The statistical inferences then apply to the sampled populations. 3. In biomedical research this sampling process is seldom followed. Instead, samples are usually acquired by non-random selection, and are then divided by randomization into experimental groups. This being the case, it is theoretically invalid to use the classical t- or F-tests to analyse the experimental results. 4. The validity of inferences from the classical tests also depends on other assumptions, such as that the sampled populations are normal in form and of equal variance. It is difficult to be certain that these assumptions are fulfilled when group sizes are small, as they usually are in pharmacology and physiology. Breach of them, especially if the groups are unequal in size, can lead to serious statistical errors. 5. Exact permutation tests are designed to make statistical inferences under the randomization model. These conclusions apply only to the results of experiments actually performed. By permuting the statistic of interest, such as the difference between arithmetic means, geometric means, medians, mid-ranges or mean-ranks of randomized groups of observations, the probability is calculated that the observed difference or a more extreme one could have occurred by chance. This inferential process is consistent with the way most biomedical experiments are designed and conducted. 6. Exact permutation tests, or sampled permutation tests based on Monte Carlo random sampling of all possible permutations, can now be performed on personal computers. They are commended to biomedical investigators as being superior to the classical tests for analysing their experimental results when the central tendencies of two independent groups, or of two sets of measurements on the same group, are compared. 7. When there is doubt that the assumptions for t-tests are satisfied, investigators sometimes use non-parametric rank-order procedures such as the Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney rank-sum test for independent groups or the Wilcoxon signed rank-sum test for paired observations.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)
摘要
  1. 临床和实验药理学及生理学中最常用的统计程序旨在检验两个均值之间的差异。2. 检测此类差异的经典程序是在总体推断模型下,将检验统计量参考t分布或F分布的那些程序。这些检验的统计推断有效性取决于若干假设。其中最重要的是实验组是通过从特定总体中随机抽样构建的。然后统计推断适用于抽样总体。3. 在生物医学研究中,这种抽样过程很少遵循。相反,样本通常通过非随机选择获取,然后通过随机化分为实验组。在这种情况下,使用经典的t检验或F检验来分析实验结果在理论上是无效的。4. 经典检验的推断有效性还取决于其他假设,例如抽样总体呈正态分布且方差相等。当样本量较小时,很难确定这些假设是否成立,而在药理学和生理学中样本量通常较小。违背这些假设,尤其是如果组大小不等,可能导致严重的统计错误。5. 精确排列检验旨在在随机化模型下进行统计推断。这些结论仅适用于实际进行的实验结果。通过对感兴趣的统计量进行排列,例如随机化观测组的算术均值、几何均值、中位数、中程数或平均秩之间的差异,计算出观察到的差异或更极端差异可能偶然出现的概率。这种推断过程与大多数生物医学实验的设计和进行方式一致。6. 精确排列检验或基于所有可能排列的蒙特卡罗随机抽样的抽样排列检验现在可以在个人计算机上进行。当比较两个独立组或同一组的两组测量的中心趋势时,它们被推荐给生物医学研究人员,因为在分析实验结果方面优于经典检验。7. 当怀疑t检验的假设是否满足时,研究人员有时会使用非参数秩次程序,例如用于独立组的威尔科克森 - 曼 - 惠特尼秩和检验或用于配对观测的威尔科克森符号秩和检验。(摘要截取自400字)

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