Ben-Shlomo Y, Marmot M G
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College, London Medical School, UK.
J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 1995 Mar;58(3):293-9. doi: 10.1136/jnnp.58.3.293.
Most previous studies that have examined the survival of patients with parkinsonism have recruited them from specialist centres. No previous study has ever reported cause specific mortality. We report on the mortality of a cohort of 220 parkinsonian patients recruited between 1970 and 1972 from 40 primary health care practices all over England and Wales and matched to 421 controls. At 20 years of follow up, 195 cases (88.6%) and 295 controls (70.1%) were no longer alive (P < 0.001). The median age at death for cases was 77.6 (range 53.8-97.3) and 83.5 (range 55.0-100.1) for controls (P < 0.001). The all cause hazard ratio for cases compared with controls was 2.6 (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 2.2-3.2) controlling for age, sex, and geographical region. There was little difference between men and women. Differences for cause specific mortality also emerged. Both ischemic heart disease (2.3, 95% CI 1.5-3.4) and cerebrovascular disease (3.6, 95% CI 2.2-6.1) showed significantly increased hazard ratios. Possible reasons for these findings are discussed in terms of (a) competing causes of death, (b) a secondary effect of drug treatment, and (c) common aetiological factors for both parkinsonism and cardiovascular disease.
以往大多数研究帕金森病患者生存率的研究都是从专科中心招募患者。此前没有研究报告过特定病因的死亡率。我们报告了一组220例帕金森病患者的死亡率,这些患者于1970年至1972年间从英格兰和威尔士各地的40家初级卫生保健机构招募,并与421名对照者进行匹配。在20年的随访中,195例患者(88.6%)和295名对照者(70.1%)已死亡(P<0.001)。患者的死亡中位年龄为77.6岁(范围53.8 - 97.3岁),对照者为83.5岁(范围55.0 - 100.1岁)(P<0.001)。在控制了年龄、性别和地理区域后,患者与对照者的全因风险比为2.6(95%置信区间(95%CI)2.2 - 3.2)。男性和女性之间差异不大。特定病因死亡率的差异也显现出来。缺血性心脏病(2.3,95%CI 1.5 - 3.4)和脑血管疾病(3.6,95%CI 2.2 - 6.1)的风险比均显著升高。我们从以下几个方面讨论了这些发现的可能原因:(a)竞争性死亡原因;(b)药物治疗的继发效应;(c)帕金森病和心血管疾病的共同病因因素。