Bogartz R S
Department of Psychology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst 01003.
J Exp Child Psychol. 1994 Oct;58(2):289-319. doi: 10.1006/jecp.1994.1036.
A compact glance at the history and impact of mathematical models in development provides background for predicting the fate of dynamical systems modeling in developmental psychology. Dynamic models are considered and the articles by Thelen and Ulrich (1991) and van Geert (1991) are summarized. Deterministic and probabilistic models are compared and some cautions are presented along with a consideration of forms that can be attained by linear models in comparison to those well known in logistic difference models. Reactions to the research by Rabinowitz, Grant, Howe, and Walsh; Kreindler and Lumsden; and Cooney and Troyer are given, with some concluding remarks on survival of dynamical systems modeling in developmental psychology.
简要回顾数学模型在发展研究中的历史与影响,为预测发展心理学中动态系统建模的命运提供背景。本文探讨了动态模型,并总结了特伦和乌尔里希(1991年)以及范·盖尔特(1991年)的文章。比较了确定性模型和概率模型,并提出了一些注意事项,同时考虑了线性模型与逻辑斯谛差分模型中常见形式相比所能达到的形式。给出了对拉宾诺维茨、格兰特、豪和沃尔什;克赖因德勒和卢姆斯登;以及库尼和特罗耶研究的反应,并对发展心理学中动态系统建模的生存作了一些总结性评论。