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医院住院患者HIV感染自愿咨询检测的成本效益

The cost-effectiveness of voluntary counseling and testing of hospital inpatients for HIV infection.

作者信息

Lurie P, Avins A L, Phillips K A, Kahn J G, Lowe R A, Ciccarone D

机构信息

Department of Family and Community Medicine, University of California-San Francisco.

出版信息

JAMA. 1994 Dec 21;272(23):1832-8.

PMID:7990217
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of voluntary counseling and testing of US hospital inpatients for the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV).

DATA SOURCES

Data for entry into the model were derived from a review of the literature, consultation with experts, and consensus of the authors.

DATA EXTRACTION

We rated our confidence in these probabilities and costs by grading the data inputs using methods adapted from those of the US Preventive Services Task Force.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Decision analysis models were developed to evaluate two outcomes: (1) cost per health care worker (HCW) HIV infection averted if measures are taken by the HCW to reduce his or her risk of acquiring HIV; and (2) cost per inpatient HIV infection detected. Sensitivity analyses were also conducted. Using baseline input values, testing to avert HCW infection may prevent 3.6 HIV infections per year at a total program cost of $2.7 billion, or a cost of $753 million per infection averted. At baseline assumptions (seroprevalence = 1%), testing to detect inpatient HIV infection would cost $16,104 per year per infection detected. Cost-effectiveness at baseline drops to $8353 per HIV infection detected if the seroprevalence is 10%. If testing is limited to hospitals with inpatient seroprevalences of at least 1%, approximately 5400 persons per year will be falsely labeled HIV-positive.

CONCLUSIONS

This analysis provides no justification for testing inpatients to prevent HIV infection of HCWs. Screening inpatients to detect HIV infection may be justified at seroprevalences exceeding 1%, but issues of medical or social discrimination, false-positive results, informed consent, and logistics must be resolved first.

摘要

目的

评估美国医院住院患者进行人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)自愿咨询和检测的成本效益。

数据来源

纳入模型的数据来自文献综述、专家咨询以及作者的共识。

数据提取

我们采用美国预防服务工作组所使用方法的改良版对数据输入进行分级,以此来评估我们对这些概率和成本的信心。

数据综合

建立决策分析模型以评估两个结果:(1)如果医护人员采取措施降低自身感染HIV的风险,每避免一名医护人员感染HIV的成本;(2)每检测出一名住院患者感染HIV的成本。还进行了敏感性分析。使用基线输入值,为避免医护人员感染而进行检测每年可能预防3.6例HIV感染,项目总成本为27亿美元,即每避免一例感染的成本为7.53亿美元。在基线假设(血清阳性率 = 1%)下,检测住院患者是否感染HIV,每检测出一例感染每年的成本为16104美元。如果血清阳性率为10%,基线时每检测出一例HIV感染的成本效益降至8353美元。如果检测仅限于住院患者血清阳性率至少为1%的医院,每年大约有5400人会被误标记为HIV阳性。

结论

该分析没有为检测住院患者以预防医护人员感染HIV提供依据。在血清阳性率超过1%时,筛查住院患者以检测HIV感染可能是合理的,但必须首先解决医疗或社会歧视、假阳性结果、知情同意和后勤等问题。

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