Reissigovä J, Luostarinen T, Hakulinen T, Kubík A
Institute of Chest Diseases, Bulovka, Czech Republic.
Int J Epidemiol. 1994 Aug;23(4):665-72. doi: 10.1093/ije/23.4.665.
The aim of the study was to analyse the pattern of lung cancer mortality from 1960 to 1989 and to predict lung cancer mortality for 1990-1999 for males and females aged > or = 30 years in the Czech and Slovak Republics.
The mortality pattern of lung cancer was examined and predicted using republic-age-period-cohort models.
Trends in lung cancer mortality were upward for both sexes over the study period. In the early 1960s, lung cancer mortality in Slovak males was much lower than that in Czech males, but since the late 1960s lung cancer mortality in males increased more rapidly in Slovakia than in the Czech Republic. It was predicted that mortality due to lung cancer in Slovak males would exceed that in Czech males during the last 5 years of the 20th century. Slovak female lung cancer mortality was lower than that for Czech females throughout the study period, and the trends in both republics were similar.
本研究的目的是分析1960年至1989年期间捷克斯洛伐克共和国30岁及以上男性和女性的肺癌死亡率模式，并预测1990年至1999年的肺癌死亡率。
使用共和国-年龄-时期-队列模型对肺癌死亡率模式进行了研究和预测。
在研究期间，男女肺癌死亡率均呈上升趋势。20世纪60年代初，斯洛伐克男性的肺癌死亡率远低于捷克男性，但自60年代末以来，斯洛伐克男性的肺癌死亡率增长速度比捷克共和国更快。据预测，在20世纪的最后5年里，斯洛伐克男性因肺癌导致的死亡率将超过捷克男性。在整个研究期间，斯洛伐克女性肺癌死亡率低于捷克女性，且两个共和国的趋势相似。
