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聚氯乙烯薄膜队列中与苯暴露相关的白血病风险。II. 风险估计。

Leukemia risk associated with benzene exposure in the pliofilm cohort. II. Risk estimates.

作者信息

Paxton M B, Chinchilli V M, Brett S M, Rodricks J V

机构信息

American Petroleum Institute, Washington, DC 20005.

出版信息

Risk Anal. 1994 Apr;14(2):155-61. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1994.tb00040.x.

Abstract

The detailed work histories of the individual workers composing the Pliofilm cohort represent a unique resource for estimating the dose-response for leukemia that may follow occupational exposure to benzene. In this paper, we report the results of analyzing the updated Pliofilm cohort using the proportional hazards model, a more sophisticated technique that uses more of the available exposure data than the conditional logistic model used by Rinsky et al. The more rigorously defined exposure estimates derived by Paustenbach et al. are consistent with those of Crump and Allen in giving estimates of the slope of the leukemogenic dose-response that are not as steep as the slope resulting from the exposure estimates of Rinsky et al. We consider estimates of 0.3-0.5 additional leukemia deaths per thousand workers with 45 ppm-years of cumulative benzene exposure to be the best estimates currently available of leukemia risk from occupational exposure to benzene. These risks were estimated in the proportional hazards model when the exposure estimates of Crump and Allen or of Paustenbach et al. were used to derive a cumulative concentration-by-time metric.

摘要

构成赛璐玢队列的个体工人的详细工作经历,是估算职业性接触苯后可能发生的白血病剂量反应的独特资源。在本文中,我们报告了使用比例风险模型分析更新后的赛璐玢队列的结果,比例风险模型是一种更复杂的技术,它比Rinsky等人使用的条件逻辑模型利用了更多可用的接触数据。Paustenbach等人得出的定义更严格的接触估计值,与Crump和Allen的估计值一致,给出的致白血病剂量反应斜率估计值不像Rinsky等人的接触估计值所导致的斜率那么陡峭。我们认为,每千名累积接触苯达45 ppm-年的工人中新增0.3至0.5例白血病死亡的估计值,是目前职业性接触苯导致白血病风险的最佳可用估计值。当使用Crump和Allen或Paustenbach等人的接触估计值来推导累积浓度-时间指标时,这些风险是在比例风险模型中估算出来的。

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