Khoury M J, James L M, Erickson J D
Birth Defects and Genetic Diseases Branch, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia 30333.
Teratology. 1994 Apr;49(4):273-81. doi: 10.1002/tera.1420490407.
Inferences regarding causes of birth defects in humans are often based on results of case-control studies conducted after birth. To address bias in these studies caused by potential differential recall of past exposures between case and control mothers, many investigators have advocated the use of affected controls (babies with birth defects other than the one of interest). To evaluate whether the use of affected controls is warranted for a wide range of scenarios, we analyzed data from a population-based case-control study of birth defects in Atlanta, in which there were 4,918 babies with serious defects ascertained in the first year of life and 3,029 babies without defects. We compared the magnitude of the odds ratios for 10 specific defects--risk factor associations between normal and affected controls. These associations included demographic factors (e.g., advanced maternal age and Down syndrome), chronic maternal illnesses (e.g., diabetes and cardiac defects), chronic exposures (e.g., multivitamins and neural tube defects), and acute exposures (e.g., flu and neural tube defects). In all instances, the use of affected controls did not change etiologic inferences derived from using normal controls and there were only moderate changes in odds ratios. On the basis of theoretical considerations, we show that recall bias can lead to spurious inferences only under extreme conditions. We conclude that concerns about recall bias are overrated in birth defects studies and that the use of normal controls is acceptable unless evidence of substantial recall bias exists.
关于人类出生缺陷原因的推断通常基于出生后进行的病例对照研究结果。为解决这些研究中因病例组和对照组母亲对过去暴露情况可能存在的差异回忆而导致的偏差,许多研究者主张使用患病对照(患有除感兴趣的出生缺陷之外其他出生缺陷的婴儿)。为评估在广泛情形下使用患病对照是否合理,我们分析了亚特兰大一项基于人群的出生缺陷病例对照研究的数据,该研究中,有4918名在生命第一年确诊患有严重缺陷的婴儿以及3029名无缺陷婴儿。我们比较了10种特定缺陷的优势比大小——正常对照与患病对照之间的风险因素关联。这些关联包括人口统计学因素(如高龄产妇与唐氏综合征)、母亲慢性疾病(如糖尿病与心脏缺陷)、慢性暴露(如多种维生素与神经管缺陷)以及急性暴露(如流感与神经管缺陷)。在所有情况下,使用患病对照并未改变使用正常对照得出的病因推断,且优势比仅有适度变化。基于理论考量,我们表明回忆偏差仅在极端条件下会导致虚假推断。我们得出结论,在出生缺陷研究中,对回忆偏差的担忧被高估了,并且除非有大量回忆偏差存在的证据,否则使用正常对照是可以接受的。