Gerding H, Clemens S, Busse H
Universitäts-Augenklinik Münster.
Ophthalmologe. 1994 Jun;91(3):333-42.
Two prospective studies were performed to characterize the retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) risk in preterms further. In the first study the gradual relationship between birth weight, gestational age and duration of oxygen therapy and the incidence of ROP was evaluated. A total of 487 preterms were enrolled in this survey. Seventeen percent (67 babies) of 389 surviving children presented clinical signs of acute ROP. Among the analyzed risk factors "gestational" age provided the best correlation with the manifestation of acute ROP. According to the nonlinear regression model the risk of acute ROP can approximately be calculated as: R = 2(39-SSW).0.5 (R = relative risk of ROP in %). The second study focused on the relationship between individual risk factors and the age at stage III onset. The mean age of the first ROP stage III diagnosis was 66 days after birth at an average gestational age (post-menstrual age) of 37.0 weeks. Multifactorial analysis clearly demonstrated that birth weight was most informative among the tested set of parameters concerning the age at onset of ROP stage III. Best fitted linear regression of this relation was: LAT = 100-BW.34 (LAT = age at onset of ROP III expressed as postnatal days; BW birthweight measured in kg). It is suggested to take this approximation into account for the timing of ROP screening.
进行了两项前瞻性研究,以进一步明确早产儿视网膜病变(ROP)的风险特征。在第一项研究中,评估了出生体重、胎龄和氧疗持续时间与ROP发病率之间的渐进关系。共有487名早产儿参与了此次调查。在389名存活儿童中,17%(67名婴儿)出现了急性ROP的临床症状。在分析的风险因素中,“胎龄”与急性ROP的表现相关性最佳。根据非线性回归模型,急性ROP的风险可大致计算为:R = 2(39 - SSW).0.5(R = ROP的相对风险,以%表示)。第二项研究聚焦于个体风险因素与III期发病年龄之间的关系。首次ROP III期诊断的平均年龄为出生后66天,平均胎龄(月经龄)为37.0周。多因素分析清楚地表明,在测试的与ROP III期发病年龄相关的参数集中,出生体重信息最为丰富。该关系的最佳拟合线性回归为:LAT = 100 - BW.34(LAT = ROP III期发病年龄,以出生后天数表示;BW出生体重,以千克为单位测量)。建议在ROP筛查时间安排中考虑这一近似值。