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德尔菲法:方法学探讨

The Delphi technique: a methodological discussion.

作者信息

Williams P L, Webb C

机构信息

University College, Salford, England.

出版信息

J Adv Nurs. 1994 Jan;19(1):180-6. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2648.1994.tb01066.x.

Abstract

As in nursing, recent curriculum reform in radiographer education has resulted in the development of undergraduate programmes, and a study referred to in this paper investigated the activities of supervising radiographers in support of the undergraduate curriculum. Following on from 'ward learning environments' research in nursing, the most important activities which assist radiography students' clinical learning were investigated by means of the Delphi technique. At the design stage, a deficiency in previous work using the technique was identified, in that decisions relating to consensus among research respondents appeared to be based on arbitrary or post hoc rationales rather than predetermined or objective criteria. As the Delphi technique is being increasingly employed in nursing and similar research, it is important to explore issues of consensus, validity and reliability. The paper makes recommendations for improving these aspects in future studies.

摘要

与护理领域一样,放射技师教育领域最近的课程改革催生了本科课程,本文提及的一项研究调查了指导放射技师支持本科课程的活动。继护理领域的“病房学习环境”研究之后,通过德尔菲法对有助于放射摄影专业学生临床学习的最重要活动进行了调查。在设计阶段,发现此前使用该方法的研究存在缺陷,即与研究受访者之间的共识相关的决策似乎基于任意或事后的理由,而非预先确定的或客观的标准。由于德尔菲法在护理及类似研究中越来越多地被采用,探讨共识、有效性和可靠性问题很重要。本文就未来研究中改进这些方面提出了建议。

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