Yu J, Williford W R
New York Office of Alcoholism and Substance Abuse Services, Albany 12210.
Addiction. 1993 Feb;88(2):219-28. doi: 10.1111/j.1360-0443.1993.tb00805.x.
The authors collected data from 878 respondents at high risk of problem drinking and drunk driving and tested a hypothesis that stipulates problem drinking and high-risk driving as two necessary conditions of drunk driving. Controlling for a number of alcohol and non-alcohol-related variables, the analysis shows problem drinking to have consistent and significant effects on repeat DWI offenses and on the frequency of self-reported drinking-driving events. High-risk driving increases the frequency of self-reported drinking-driving. Males are more likely than females to be arrested for DWI, but there is no gender differences in self-reported drinking-driving. The authors further note a possible 'suppress effect' in that a negative relationship between DWI arrests and high-risk driving is concealed by problem drinking. That is, problem drinkers with multiple DWI arrest records may drive more carefully than before so as to avoid further contact with the police and licensing authorities. Public policy implications of the findings are discussed.
作者收集了878名存在饮酒问题和酒后驾驶高风险的受访者的数据,并对一个假设进行了检验,该假设规定饮酒问题和高风险驾驶是酒后驾驶的两个必要条件。在控制了一些与酒精和非酒精相关的变量后,分析表明饮酒问题对重复酒后驾车犯罪以及自我报告的酒后驾车事件频率有一致且显著的影响。高风险驾驶会增加自我报告的酒后驾车频率。男性因酒后驾车被捕的可能性高于女性,但在自我报告的酒后驾车方面不存在性别差异。作者进一步指出可能存在一种“抑制效应”,即酒后驾车被捕与高风险驾驶之间的负相关关系被饮酒问题所掩盖。也就是说,有多次酒后驾车被捕记录的饮酒者可能会比以前更谨慎地驾驶,以避免与警方和驾照管理部门进一步接触。文中讨论了这些研究结果对公共政策的影响。