Savage I
Department of Economics, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois 60208.
Risk Anal. 1993 Aug;13(4):413-20. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1993.tb00741.x.
Over the past 15 years, psychologists have empirically investigated how people perceive technological, consumer, and natural hazards. The psychometric-attitudes to risk being summarized by three factors: "dread," whether the risk is known, and personal exposure to the risk. The results have been used to suggest that certain types of hazards are viewed very differently from other hazards. The purpose of this paper is somewhat different, in that it investigates whether individual demographic characteristics influence psychometric perceptions of risk. This paper makes use of a large, professionally conducted, survey of a wide cross-section of the residents of metropolitan Chicago. One thousand adults were interviewed in a random-digit dial telephone survey, producing a useable dataset of about 800. Data on the three risk factors mentioned above were obtained on 7-point scales for four common hazards: aviation accidents, fires in the home, automobile accidents, and stomach cancer. The survey also collected demographic data on respondents' age, schooling, income, sex, and race. Regressions were then conducted to relate the demographic characteristics to risk perceptions. Some strong general conclusions can be drawn. The results suggest that women, people with lower levels of schooling and income, younger people, and blacks have more dread of hazards. The exception being age-related illnesses which, not unnaturally, are feared by older people. Unlike previous literature, we cannot substantiate the argument that these groups of people are less informed about hazards and thus less accepting of them. The most likely leading explanation of the relationship between demographic factors and dread of a hazard is the perceived personal exposure to the hazard.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
在过去15年里,心理学家对人们如何感知技术、消费和自然风险进行了实证研究。风险的心理测量态度由三个因素概括:“恐惧”、风险是否已知以及个人面临的风险。研究结果表明,某些类型的风险与其他风险的看法截然不同。本文的目的有所不同,它研究个体人口特征是否会影响对风险的心理测量认知。本文利用了一项针对芝加哥大都市居民广泛代表性样本的大型专业调查。在随机数字拨号电话调查中采访了1000名成年人,得到了一个约800人的可用数据集。针对四种常见风险,即航空事故、家庭火灾、汽车事故和胃癌,以7分制获取了上述三个风险因素的数据。该调查还收集了受访者的年龄、受教育程度、收入、性别和种族等人口数据。然后进行回归分析,将人口特征与风险认知联系起来。可以得出一些强有力的一般性结论。结果表明,女性、受教育程度和收入较低的人、年轻人和黑人对风险更为恐惧。与年龄相关的疾病除外,老年人自然会更害怕这类疾病。与以往文献不同的是,我们无法证实这些人群对风险了解较少、因此对风险接受度较低的观点。人口因素与对风险的恐惧之间关系最可能的主要解释是对个人面临风险的感知。(摘要截取自250字)