Dye C, Williams B G
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences, University of Cambridge, U.K.
Proc Biol Sci. 1993 Oct 22;254(1339):33-9. doi: 10.1098/rspb.1993.0123.
Children are said to be at greater risk of developing visceral leishmaniasis (VL) when they are younger and more malnourished. If malnutrition really is associated with VL, this potentially fatal and visible disease may be a general indicator of community health among the rural and suburban poor. Previous conclusions reached about the roles of malnutrition and age in VL epidemiology are questionable because they may have been confounded by transmission rate, because they have not been able to distinguish between different mechanisms of acquiring immunity, and because empirical observations have not been compared with theoretical expectations. Here we offer a framework with which to investigate these questions quantitatively, and do so with published data from endemic areas of Brazil. We conclude that children are indeed more susceptible to VL when they are younger and more malnourished, but it remains unclear whether the immunity to VL acquired with age is always acquired as a result of infection. The significance for leishmaniasis control, and for the control of other diseases associated with malnutrition, will depend on underlying mechanisms, which are not yet understood.
据说儿童在年龄较小且营养不良时患内脏利什曼病(VL)的风险更高。如果营养不良确实与VL有关,那么这种潜在致命且明显可见的疾病可能是农村和郊区贫困人口社区健康的一个普遍指标。先前关于营养不良和年龄在VL流行病学中作用的结论值得怀疑,因为它们可能受到传播率的混淆,因为它们未能区分获得免疫力的不同机制,并且因为实证观察结果尚未与理论预期进行比较。在这里,我们提供了一个框架来定量研究这些问题,并利用巴西流行地区的已发表数据进行研究。我们得出结论,儿童在年龄较小且营养不良时确实更容易感染VL,但尚不清楚随着年龄增长获得的VL免疫力是否总是因感染而获得。对利什曼病控制以及对与营养不良相关的其他疾病控制的意义将取决于尚未明确的潜在机制。