Wilson D W, Banks D J
Australian Quarantine and Inspection Service, Canberra, ACT.
Rev Sci Tech. 1993 Dec;12(4):1121-33. doi: 10.20506/rst.12.4.740.
This paper describes the ways in which the Australian Quarantine and Inspection Service (AQIS) uses risk assessment and risk management. Taking into account the need to meet both national and international obligations, AQIS has adopted a more systematic and transparent approach to import risk assessment by employing a procedure designed to examine each point along the importation chain at which an animal or animal product might become infected. The authors discuss the four principal factors influencing the risk involved and the three phases used by AQIS in assessing risk. Objective data are rarely available in the animal health field and most analyses rely, at least in part, on subjective estimates. The authors outline a way of overcoming this through the use of simulation, whereby probability distributions are used for many steps.
本文描述了澳大利亚检疫检验局（AQIS）运用风险评估和风险管理的方式。考虑到既要履行国内义务又要履行国际义务，AQIS采用了一种更系统、更透明的进口风险评估方法，即运用一种程序来检查进口链上动物或动物产品可能被感染的每个环节。作者讨论了影响相关风险的四个主要因素以及AQIS在评估风险时所采用的三个阶段。在动物卫生领域，客观数据很少能获取，大多数分析至少部分依赖主观估计。作者概述了一种通过使用模拟来克服这一问题的方法，即在许多步骤中使用概率分布。
