Tormans G, Van Damme P, Carrin G, Clara R, Eylenbosch W
Seso, University of Antwerp (UFSIA), Belgium.
Soc Sci Med. 1993 Jul;37(2):173-81. doi: 10.1016/0277-9536(93)90453-b.
The study examines the cost-effectiveness of screening pregnant women in Belgium for the presence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) and of vaccinating the newborns if necessary. The alternative strategy considered is 'doing nothing'. The rate of carriership among a sample of pregnant women in Belgium amounts to 0.67%. If a pregnant woman is a carrier of the virus, there is an average probability of 30% that she will transmit the virus to her newborn. Later in life, this baby will be at risk from serious complications, such as chronic active hepatitis, cirrhosis and primary hepatocellular cancer. However, medical costs will be induced by screening and vaccination campaigns, lab-tests, vaccine costs, etc. On the other hand, resources will be saved by the prevention of severe complications of the disease. However, costs dominate savings, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for the screening and vaccination strategy amounting to 583,581 BEF per life-year saved. To check the stability of the cost-effectiveness ratio, a sensitivity analysis has been performed on some crucial parameters: the ratio is found to be sensitive to the prevalence of HBV among pregnant women, to the costs for screening and vaccination and to the discount rate. Increasing the treatment costs for a HBV complication hardly changes the cost-effectiveness ratio.
该研究考察了比利时对孕妇进行乙肝病毒(HBV)筛查以及必要时为新生儿接种疫苗的成本效益。所考虑的替代策略是“什么都不做”。比利时孕妇样本中的病毒携带率为0.67%。如果一名孕妇是病毒携带者,她将病毒传染给新生儿的平均概率为30%。在其日后的生活中,这个婴儿将面临严重并发症的风险,如慢性活动性肝炎、肝硬化和原发性肝细胞癌。然而,筛查和疫苗接种活动、实验室检测、疫苗成本等会产生医疗费用。另一方面,通过预防该疾病的严重并发症可节省资源。然而,成本超过了节省的费用,筛查和疫苗接种策略的增量成本效益比为每挽救一个生命年583,581比利时法郎。为检验成本效益比的稳定性,对一些关键参数进行了敏感性分析:发现该比值对孕妇中HBV的流行率、筛查和疫苗接种成本以及贴现率敏感。增加HBV并发症的治疗成本几乎不会改变成本效益比。