Fischer E H, Lohman S
J Nerv Ment Dis. 1977 Feb;164(2):107-11. doi: 10.1097/00005053-197702000-00005.
Outcomes for 62 hospitalized mental patients were predicted, utilizing various background information, diagnoses, and staff ratings of behavior, as independent variables. Diagnoses and previous admissions correlated weakly with the outcomes, viz., length of stay, subsequent readmissions, and post-hospital adjustment. Staff ratings were more reliable, and of these, the open ward aides' estimates generally were more effective than those of admission ward personnel or professionals. Staff predictions and judgments of patients' behaviors yielded multiple correlations explaining over 60 per cent of the variation in each outcome measure. In addition, the patient's judged competence and posthospital living situation were associated with his or her use of outpatient facilities.
利用各种背景信息、诊断结果以及工作人员对行为的评分作为自变量，对62名住院精神科患者的治疗结果进行了预测。诊断结果和之前的住院情况与治疗结果（即住院时间、随后的再次入院情况以及出院后的适应情况）的相关性较弱。工作人员的评分更可靠，其中，开放病房助手的评估通常比入院病房工作人员或专业人员的评估更有效。工作人员对患者行为的预测和判断产生了多重相关性，解释了每个治疗结果指标中超过60%的变异。此外，患者的判断能力和出院后的生活状况与他们对门诊设施的使用有关。
