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一种用于估算卡铂曲线下面积的有限采样方法。

A limited sampling method for estimation of the carboplatin area under the curve.

作者信息

Sørensen B T, Strömgren A, Jakobsen P, Jakobsen A

机构信息

Danish Cancer Society, Department of Oncology, Aarhus University Hospital.

出版信息

Cancer Chemother Pharmacol. 1993;31(4):324-7. doi: 10.1007/BF00685679.

Abstract

A limited sampling method for estimation of the carboplatin area under the curve (AUC) from one or two plasma concentration determination is presented. The model was conceived and developed using 43 pharmacokinetic studies in 15 patients with ovarian cancer (model data set) who received carboplatin in combination with cyclophosphamide. Linear regression analyses comparing the AUC and the drug concentration at a single time point (0.25-10 h after the end of the infusion) as calculated from the fitted exponential equations gave correlation coefficients as high as 0.97, with maximal correlations falling within the interval of 2-3.25 h. The model was validated prospectively in 9 patients with ovarian cancer (validation data set) who received the same treatment as did the model data set (21 pharmacokinetic studies), testing the equation AUC = 0.52 x C2.75 h + 0.92. Observed and estimated AUCs were correlated in the validation data set (r = 0.91). The mean predictive error (MPE% +/- SE) was -4.4% +/- 3.1% and the root mean squared error (RMSE%) was 13.9%. Multiple regression analysis revealed that adding a second sample drawn at 0.25 h (AUC = 0.053 x C0.25h + 0.401 x C2.75h + 0.628) improved the MPE% to -2.2% +/- 2.1% and the RMSE% to 9.4% (r = 0.96). We conclude that the carboplatin AUC can be estimated from a single plasma sample at 2.75 h or, more precisely, from two plasma samples at 0.25 and 2.75 h. The methods described may prove to be a handy tool for the calculation of approximate AUCs in trials of a size that would discourage detailed pharmacokinetic studies.

摘要

本文提出了一种通过一两次血浆浓度测定来估算卡铂曲线下面积(AUC)的有限采样方法。该模型是基于15例接受卡铂联合环磷酰胺治疗的卵巢癌患者的43项药代动力学研究构建和开发的(模型数据集)。通过拟合指数方程计算得出的AUC与单个时间点(输注结束后0.25 - 10小时)的药物浓度进行线性回归分析,相关系数高达0.97,最大相关性出现在2 - 3.25小时的区间内。该模型在9例接受与模型数据集相同治疗的卵巢癌患者(验证数据集)中进行了前瞻性验证(21项药代动力学研究),检验方程AUC = 0.52 x C2.75 h + 0.92。在验证数据集中,观察到的AUC和估算的AUC具有相关性(r = 0.91)。平均预测误差(MPE% +/- SE)为 -4.4% +/- 3.1%,均方根误差(RMSE%)为13.9%。多元回归分析表明,增加一个在0.25小时采集的第二个样本(AUC = 0.053 x C0.25h + 0.401 x C2.75h + 0.628)可将MPE%改善至 -2.2% +/- 2.1%,RMSE%改善至9.4%(r = 0.96)。我们得出结论,卡铂AUC可通过在2.75小时采集的单个血浆样本估算,或者更精确地,通过在0.25小时和2.75小时采集的两个血浆样本估算。所述方法可能被证明是一种便捷工具,可用于在规模上不适合进行详细药代动力学研究的试验中计算近似的AUC。

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