Kol'tover V K, Andrianova Z S, Ivanova A N
Izv Akad Nauk Ser Biol. 1993 Jan-Feb(1):121-9.
The reliability theory model of aging (Kol'tover 1981, 1982) was used for analysis of life-tables of Swedish males and females for 1951-1955, 1962-1973 and 1971-1975 calendar years. In terms of the model it has been possible 1) to explain the Gompertz "law" of mortality; 2) to describe quantitatively statistical life-table data including Gompertz's and geriatric ages; 3) to predict the behavior of mortality rate function depending on the extent of population heterogeneity, among them the existence, at respective degrees of heterogeneity, of a maximum in geriatric age range and 4) to estimate the species-specific maximum life-span potential of animals.
衰老可靠性理论模型（科尔托弗，1981年、1982年）被用于分析1951 - 1955年、1962 - 1973年以及1971 - 1975年历年瑞典男性和女性的生命表。依据该模型，有可能做到：1）解释冈珀茨死亡率“定律”；2）定量描述包括冈珀茨年龄和老年年龄在内的统计生命表数据；3）根据人群异质性程度预测死亡率函数的变化，其中包括在不同异质性程度下老年年龄范围内死亡率的最大值；4）估计动物物种特有的最大寿命潜力。
