The potential impact of health care reform on emergency department utilization.

How will emergency department utilization and costs be affected by universal coverage provisions? Proponents of health care reform predict that the number of ED visits will decline when currently uninsured Americans become eligible for primary physicians' care. However, economic concepts indicate the contrary: that ED volume and costs will actually escalate upon implementation of health care reform initiatives. These basic concepts include: 1) the insulation of most consumers from the true cost of health care, fostering higher demands for that care; 2) the financial benefits afforded physicians and health maintenance organizations by ED's ability, and legal responsibility, to assess and treat any patient at any time; and 3) access to ED personnel and material by individuals with urgent and nonurgent conditions, which generates fixed costs, regardless of patient volume. These effects of health care reform on EDs must be anticipated by hospital administrators to avoid compromise of patient care quality and consumer satisfaction.