Hunter D J, Spiegelman D, Adami H O, Beeson L, van den Brandt P A, Folsom A R, Fraser G E, Goldbohm R A, Graham S, Howe G R
Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
N Engl J Med. 1996 Feb 8;334(6):356-61. doi: 10.1056/NEJM199602083340603.
Experiments in animals, international correlation comparisons, and case-control studies support an association between dietary fat intake and the incidence of breast cancer. Most cohort studies do not corroborate the association, but they have been criticized for involving small numbers of cases, homogeneous fat intake, and measurement errors in estimates of fat intake.
We identified seven prospective studies in four countries that met specific criteria and analyzed the primary data in a standardized manner. Pooled estimates of the relation of fat intake to the risk of breast cancer were calculated, and data from study-specific validation studies were used to adjust the results for measurement error.
Information about 4980 cases from studies including 337,819 women was available. When women in the highest quintile of energy-adjusted total fat intake were compared with women in the lowest quintile, the multivariate pooled relative risk of breast cancer was 1.05 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.94 to 1.16). Relative risks for saturated, monounsaturated, and polyunsaturated fat and for cholesterol, considered individually, were also close to unity. There was little overall association between the percentage of energy intake from fat and the risk of breast cancer, even among women whose energy intake from fat was less than 20 percent. Correcting for error in the measurement of nutrient intake did not materially alter these findings.
We found no evidence of a positive association between total dietary fat intake and the risk of breast cancer. There was no reduction in risk even among women whose energy intake from fat was less than 20 percent of total energy intake. In the context of the Western lifestyle, lowering the total intake of fat in midlife is unlikely to reduce the risk of breast cancer substantially.
动物实验、国际相关性比较以及病例对照研究均支持膳食脂肪摄入量与乳腺癌发病率之间存在关联。大多数队列研究并未证实这种关联,但它们因纳入病例数量少、脂肪摄入量同质化以及脂肪摄入量估计存在测量误差而受到批评。
我们在四个国家确定了七项符合特定标准的前瞻性研究,并以标准化方式分析了原始数据。计算了脂肪摄入量与乳腺癌风险关系的合并估计值,并使用来自特定研究的验证研究数据对测量误差结果进行调整。
可获取来自包括337,819名女性的研究中的4980例病例信息。将能量调整后的总脂肪摄入量最高五分位数的女性与最低五分位数的女性进行比较时,乳腺癌的多变量合并相对风险为1.05(95%置信区间,0.94至1.16)。单独考虑饱和脂肪、单不饱和脂肪、多不饱和脂肪以及胆固醇的相对风险也接近1。脂肪能量摄入量百分比与乳腺癌风险之间几乎没有总体关联,即使在脂肪能量摄入量低于20%的女性中也是如此。校正营养素摄入量测量误差并未实质性改变这些发现。
我们没有发现膳食总脂肪摄入量与乳腺癌风险之间存在正相关的证据。即使在脂肪能量摄入量占总能量摄入量不到20%的女性中,风险也没有降低。在西方生活方式的背景下,中年时期降低脂肪总摄入量不太可能大幅降低乳腺癌风险。