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日本川崎病患者的死亡率。川崎病随访组。

Mortality rates for patients with a history of Kawasaki disease in Japan. Kawasaki Disease Follow-up Group.

作者信息

Nakamura Y, Yanagawa H, Kato H, Kawasaki T

机构信息

Department of Public Health, Jichi Medical School, Tochigi, Japan.

出版信息

J Pediatr. 1996 Jan;128(1):75-81. doi: 10.1016/s0022-3476(96)70430-4.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether the mortality rate of patients with a history of Kawasaki disease is higher than that of the general population.

DESIGN

In a cohort study, 6585 patients with Kawasaki disease were observed from the first medical encounter because of the disease through the end of 1992, or until death. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated with vital statistics data of Japan for the control.

RESULTS

Of 6585 patients who met the eligibility criteria, 6550 (99.5%) were followed through either the end of the study or the date of death. Nineteen patients (14 male subjects) died during the study period; an overall SMR of 1.56 (955 CI, 0.94 to 2.43) was calculated for the entire study period. The SMR was 1.78 (95% CI, 0.97 to 2.99) for male subjects and 1.16 (95% CI, 0.38 to 2.71) for female subjects. During the acute phase of the disease (the first 2 months after onset), the SMR was higher, particularly in male subjects (SMR, 10.12; 95% CI, 3.72 to 22.07). After the acute phase, however, both boys and girls had low SMRs. Nine of the 19 deaths were caused by Kawasaki disease; there were 2 deaths as a result of congenital anomalies of the circulatory system and 2 subjects died of malignant neoplasms of lymphatic or hematopoietic tissues.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the mortality rate among those with a history of Kawasaki disease was elevated in Japan, many of the deaths that caused the elevation occurred during the acute phase of the disease. The mortality rate was not increased after the acute phase of the disease.

摘要

目的

确定川崎病患者的死亡率是否高于普通人群。

设计

在一项队列研究中,对6585例川崎病患者从因该病首次就诊起至1992年底或直至死亡进行观察。以日本的生命统计数据作为对照,计算标准化死亡比(SMR)及其95%置信区间(CI)。

结果

在符合纳入标准的6585例患者中,6550例(99.5%)随访至研究结束或死亡日期。19例患者(14例男性)在研究期间死亡;整个研究期间计算得出的总体SMR为1.56(95%CI,0.94至2.43)。男性患者的SMR为1.78(95%CI,0.97至2.99),女性患者为1.16(95%CI,0.38至2.71)。在疾病急性期(发病后的前2个月),SMR较高,尤其是男性患者(SMR,10.12;95%CI,3.72至22.07)。然而,在急性期过后,男孩和女孩的SMR均较低。19例死亡中有9例由川崎病导致;2例因循环系统先天性异常死亡,2例死于淋巴或造血组织恶性肿瘤。

结论

在日本,虽然有川崎病病史者的死亡率有所升高,但导致死亡率升高的许多死亡发生在疾病急性期。疾病急性期过后死亡率并未增加。

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