He G W, Grunkemeier G L, Starr A
Department of Surgery, University of Hong Kong, Grantham Hospital, Hong Kong.
Ann Thorac Surg. 1996 Jun;61(6):1746-51. doi: 10.1016/0003-4975(96)00143-9.
Aortic valve replacement (AVR) has been an accepted therapy for elderly patients (> 70 years) with aortic valve disease. This study was designed to investigate the determinants of survival after the implantation of aortic valve prostheses, with emphasis on the effect of concomitant coronary artery bypass grafting on survival.
From November 1964 to July 1994,963 elderly patients underwent isolated AVR. Long-term survival was investigated in 877 patients (70 to 94 years) who survived operation, with 92% follow-up completeness (mean +/- standard deviation, 4.5 +/- 3.9 years; maximum, 20.1 years; total, 3,920.2 patient-years), by univariate and multivariate analyses.
Actuarial survival was 38.1% +/- 2.8% at 10 years, 17.8% +/- 3.0% at 15 years, and 9.0% +/- 3.1% at 20 years. Eight variables (age, sex, body surface area [less or greater than 1.7 m2], period of operation, type of prosthesis, size of prosthesis, re-replacement, and concomitant coronary artery bypass grafting) were investigated with regard to long-term survival by the Kaplan-Meier method. Age, sex, and body surface area were significant. Multivariate analysis revealed that older age (p = 0.0005) and male sex (p = 0.0001) were independent variables that determined long-term survival.
Elderly patients may have satisfactory long-term results after AVR. Age and sex are independent determinants. Other factors (such as concomitant coronary artery bypass grafting and type of prosthesis) did not independently influence long-term survival. Coronary revascularization in elderly patients with coronary disease undergoing AVR may lead to a long-term survival similar to that in patients without coronary disease undergoing AVR.
主动脉瓣置换术(AVR)已成为老年(>70岁)主动脉瓣疾病患者公认的治疗方法。本研究旨在探讨主动脉瓣人工瓣膜植入术后生存的决定因素,重点关注同期冠状动脉旁路移植术对生存的影响。
1964年11月至1994年7月,963例老年患者接受了单纯AVR。对877例术后存活的患者(70至94岁)进行长期生存研究,随访完整性为92%(平均±标准差,4.5±3.9年;最长20.1年;总计3920.2患者年),采用单因素和多因素分析。
10年时精算生存率为38.1%±2.8%,15年时为17.8%±3.0%,20年时为9.0%±3.1%。采用Kaplan-Meier法对八个变量(年龄、性别、体表面积[小于或大于1.7 m²]、手术时间、人工瓣膜类型、人工瓣膜大小、再次置换和同期冠状动脉旁路移植术)进行长期生存研究。年龄、性别和体表面积具有显著性。多因素分析显示,高龄(p = 0.0005)和男性(p = 0.0001)是决定长期生存的独立变量。
老年患者AVR术后可能有满意的长期结果。年龄和性别是独立的决定因素。其他因素(如同期冠状动脉旁路移植术和人工瓣膜类型)并未独立影响长期生存。患有冠心病的老年患者在接受AVR时进行冠状动脉血运重建可能会导致与未患冠心病的患者接受AVR时相似的长期生存。