Cohen A J, Pope C A
The Health Effects Institute, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
Environ Health Perspect. 1995 Nov;103 Suppl 8(Suppl 8):219-24. doi: 10.1289/ehp.95103s8219.
Epidemiologic studies over the last 40 years suggest rather consistently that general ambient air pollution, chiefly due to the incomplete combustion of fossil fuels, may be responsible for increased rates of lung cancer. This evidence derives from studies of lung cancer trends, studies of occupational groups, comparisons of urban and rural populations, and case-control and cohort studies using diverse exposure metrics. Recent prospective cohort studies observed 30 to 50% increases in lung cancer rates associated with exposure to respirable particles. While these data reflect the effects of exposures in past decades, and despite some progress in reducing air pollution, large numbers of people in the United States continue to be exposed to pollutant mixtures containing known or suspected carcinogens. It is not known how many people in the United States are exposed to levels of fine respirable particles that have been associated with lung cancer in recent epidemiologic studies. These observations suggest that the most widely cited estimates of the proportional contribution of air pollution to lung cancer occurrence in the United States based largely on the results of animal studies, may be too low. It is important that better epidemiologic research be conducted to allow improved estimates of lung cancer risk from air pollution among the general population. The development and application of new epidemiologic methods, particularly the improved characterization of population-wide exposure to mixtures of air pollutants and the improved design of ecologic studies, could improve our ability to measure accurately the magnitude of excess cancer associated with air pollution.
过去40年的流行病学研究相当一致地表明,主要由于化石燃料燃烧不完全导致的一般环境空气污染,可能是肺癌发病率上升的原因。这一证据来自对肺癌趋势的研究、职业群体研究、城乡人口比较,以及使用各种暴露指标的病例对照研究和队列研究。最近的前瞻性队列研究发现,与接触可吸入颗粒物相关的肺癌发病率增加了30%至50%。虽然这些数据反映了过去几十年暴露的影响,尽管在减少空气污染方面取得了一些进展,但美国仍有大量人口继续接触含有已知或疑似致癌物的污染物混合物。目前尚不清楚美国有多少人接触到了近期流行病学研究中与肺癌相关的细可吸入颗粒物水平。这些观察结果表明,主要基于动物研究结果对空气污染在美国肺癌发生中所占比例贡献的最广泛引用的估计可能过低。进行更好的流行病学研究以改进对普通人群空气污染导致肺癌风险的估计非常重要。新的流行病学方法的开发和应用,特别是改进对人群广泛接触空气污染物混合物的特征描述以及改进生态研究的设计,可能会提高我们准确测量与空气污染相关的额外癌症数量的能力。