Panneton J M, Lassonde J, Laurendeau F
Department of Surgery, University of Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Ann Vasc Surg. 1995 Nov;9(6):535-41. doi: 10.1007/BF02018826.
Ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) remains a common and highly lethal problem. This study evaluates the morbidity and mortality rates and aims to identify which clinical variables could predict the outcome. We reviewed the records of 112 patients (97 men and 15 women) operated on for ruptured infrarenal AAA within the past 12 years (April 1, 1980, to March 31, 1992). Forty-seven clinical variables were collected and correlated with outcome by univariate and multivariate analysis. Mean age was 72.4 years (range 51 to 89 years). Only 12.5% were known to have an AAA before rupture. Preoperative systolic pressure < 90 mm Hg was present in 84 patients (75%) and 11 patients (9.8%) experienced cardiac arrest before surgery. The in-hospital mortality rate was 49.1% (55/112). Two preoperative variables were associated with increased mortality: systolic pressure < 90 mm Hg and cardiac arrest (p = 0.04 and p = 0.009, respectively). Preoperative comorbidity had no impact on outcome. Massive blood loss (> or = 5000 ml) was an intraoperative factor predictive of increased mortality (p = 0.0007). After multivariate analysis, only the following five postoperative variables were associated with increased mortality: cardiac event, renal failure requiring dialysis, coagulopathy, bleeding, and multisystem organ failure (all p < 0.05). We did not identify a preoperative factor that predicts certain death and allows us to deny a patient a chance at survival. The occurrence of multisystem organ failure is associated with no survivors and raises the ethical issue of withholding treatment for these patients in the postoperative course. We favor selective screening and aggressive elective repair to improve survival by operating before rupture occurs.
腹主动脉瘤破裂(AAA)仍然是一个常见且致死率很高的问题。本研究评估了发病率和死亡率,并旨在确定哪些临床变量可以预测预后。我们回顾了过去12年(1980年4月1日至1992年3月31日)因肾下腹主动脉瘤破裂而接受手术的112例患者(97例男性和15例女性)的记录。收集了47个临床变量,并通过单因素和多因素分析将其与预后相关联。平均年龄为72.4岁(范围为51至89岁)。只有12.5%的患者在破裂前已知患有腹主动脉瘤。84例患者(75%)术前收缩压<90 mmHg,11例患者(9.8%)在手术前发生心脏骤停。住院死亡率为49.1%(55/112)。两个术前变量与死亡率增加相关:收缩压<90 mmHg和心脏骤停(分别为p = 0.04和p = 0.009)。术前合并症对预后没有影响。大量失血(≥5000 ml)是术中预测死亡率增加的一个因素(p = 0.0007)。多因素分析后,只有以下五个术后变量与死亡率增加相关:心脏事件、需要透析的肾衰竭、凝血障碍、出血和多系统器官衰竭(所有p<0.05)。我们没有发现一个术前因素可以预测必然死亡并使我们拒绝给予患者生存机会。多系统器官衰竭的发生与无幸存者相关,并引发了在术后过程中对这些患者 withholding 治疗的伦理问题。我们支持选择性筛查和积极的择期修复,以通过在破裂发生前进行手术来提高生存率。