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与女性乳腺癌死亡率相关的营养、社会经济和生殖因素:一项跨国研究的结果

Nutritional, socioeconomic, and reproductive factors in relation to female breast cancer mortality: findings from a cross-national study.

作者信息

Hebert J R, Rosen A

机构信息

Division of Preventive and Behavioral Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical Center, Worcester 01655, USA.

出版信息

Cancer Detect Prev. 1996;20(3):234-44.

PMID:8769718
Abstract

Using data from 66 countries, we conducted an international comparison study to identify the most important predictors of female breast cancer mortality rates. This study was unique in that it included data on per capita tobacco disappearance, alcohol consumption, socioeconomic status (SES), reproductive factors, and a wide array of nutritional data. Results of correlation and single independent-variable linear regression models indicated that breast cancer mortality was most strongly associated with dietary factors typically associated with affluence, especially animal products. The strongest negative (i.e., protective) associations were with those variables related to increased fertility and population growth. A multiple linear regression that accounted for all important predictors simultaneously explained 91% of the variability in mortality rates across these countries. This model indicated a strong positive association between breast cancer mortality and calories from animal sources. Fish and cereal products as well as annual percentage growth in population appeared to exert protective effects. Despite the limitations of this type of analysis, the observed effect of high meat and animal product consumption, the major contributor to variability in dietary fat, as well as the protective effect of increased fertility are consistent with the known biology of breast cancer. The protective effect of fish and cereal consumption that we observed will require further study.

摘要

利用来自66个国家的数据,我们开展了一项国际比较研究,以确定女性乳腺癌死亡率的最重要预测因素。这项研究的独特之处在于,它纳入了人均烟草消费量、酒精摄入量、社会经济地位(SES)、生殖因素以及一系列营养数据。相关性分析和单自变量线性回归模型的结果表明,乳腺癌死亡率与通常与富裕相关的饮食因素密切相关,尤其是动物产品。最强的负相关(即保护作用)与那些与生育能力增加和人口增长相关的变量有关。一个同时考虑所有重要预测因素的多元线性回归解释了这些国家死亡率差异的91%。该模型表明,乳腺癌死亡率与来自动物源的热量之间存在很强的正相关。鱼类和谷物产品以及人口年增长率似乎具有保护作用。尽管这类分析存在局限性,但观察到的高肉类和动物产品消费的影响(饮食脂肪差异的主要原因)以及生育能力增加的保护作用与已知的乳腺癌生物学特性是一致的。我们观察到的鱼类和谷物消费的保护作用需要进一步研究。

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