Garfinkel L
Stat Bull Metrop Insur Co. 1995 Oct-Dec;76(4):31-7.
Since the mid-1960s, the proportion of deaths from the leading cause of U.S. mortality, heart disease, has decreased fairly steadily. The proportion of cancer deaths has risen over the same period, however, from 16.3 percent in 1965 to 23.7 in 1991. Public awareness of this increase has resulted in questions being raised about the probability of developing or dying of cancer. Analyses of published data in the 1973-1991 Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) program of the National Cancer Institute estimated a person's lifetime risk of developing or dying of cancer. The lifetime risk of developing cancer is 44.8 percent for men and 39.3 percent for women. For both sexes, the risk of dying of lung cancer is higher than for any other cancer.
自20世纪60年代中期以来，美国主要死因心脏病导致的死亡比例一直在稳步下降。然而，同期癌症死亡比例却有所上升，从1965年的16.3%升至1991年的23.7%。公众对这一增长的关注引发了人们对患癌可能性或死于癌症的疑问。对美国国立癌症研究所1973 - 1991年监测、流行病学和最终结果（SEER）项目中已发表数据的分析估计了一个人一生中患癌或死于癌症的风险。男性一生中患癌的风险为44.8%，女性为39.3%。对于两性来说，死于肺癌的风险高于其他任何癌症。
