Tu J V
Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, North York, Ontario, Canada.
J Clin Epidemiol. 1996 Nov;49(11):1225-31. doi: 10.1016/s0895-4356(96)00002-9.
Artificial neural networks are algorithms that can be used to perform nonlinear statistical modeling and provide a new alternative to logistic regression, the most commonly used method for developing predictive models for dichotomous outcomes in medicine. Neural networks offer a number of advantages, including requiring less formal statistical training, ability to implicitly detect complex nonlinear relationships between dependent and independent variables, ability to detect all possible interactions between predictor variables, and the availability of multiple training algorithms. Disadvantages include its "black box" nature, greater computational burden, proneness to overfitting, and the empirical nature of model development. An overview of the features of neural networks and logistic regression is presented, and the advantages and disadvantages of using this modeling technique are discussed.
人工神经网络是一种算法,可用于执行非线性统计建模,并为逻辑回归提供了一种新的替代方法。逻辑回归是医学中用于开发二分结果预测模型最常用的方法。神经网络具有许多优点,包括所需的形式化统计训练较少、能够隐式检测因变量和自变量之间复杂的非线性关系、能够检测预测变量之间所有可能的相互作用以及有多种训练算法可用。缺点包括其“黑箱”性质、更大的计算负担、容易过度拟合以及模型开发的经验性质。本文概述了神经网络和逻辑回归的特点,并讨论了使用这种建模技术的优缺点。