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关于电磁场与儿童癌症之间关联的研究的荟萃分析。

Meta-analyses of studies on the association between electromagnetic fields and childhood cancer.

作者信息

Meinert R, Michaelis J

机构信息

Institute of Medical Statistics and Documentation, University of Mainz, Germany.

出版信息

Radiat Environ Biophys. 1996 Feb;35(1):11-8. doi: 10.1007/BF01211237.

Abstract

During the last 15 years several studies have investigated a possible relationship between exposure to electromagnetic fields (EMF) and childhood cancer. There is considerable variation between these studies with respect to methods of exposure assessment and reported results. Methods of exposure assessment range from simple visual criteria to costly and time consuming measurements or estimations of electric flux density. Additional individual refinements further hinder the comparability of results. We carried out several meta-analyses of data published so far taking into account the heterogeneity between studies as far as possible. Our particular interest was to investigate a potential dose-response-like relationship by comparing analyses for different cut-off points of exposure. Our meta-analyses suggest a marginal association between all cancer diagnoses combined and EMF exposure assessed by the two-level wire code (odds ratio, OR = 1.37, 95% confidence interval, CI: 0.94-2.00). Based on this criterion a significant effect was found for bases of leukemia (OR = 1.66, CI: 1.11-2.49) but not for central nervous system (CNS) tumors (OR = 1.5, CI: 0.69-3.26) or lymphomas (OR = 1.32, CI: 0.52-3.37). A significant increase in overall cancer risk with increasing stages of the four-level wire code (P = 0.003) could not be confirmed when data of the initial study performed by Wertheimer and Leeper were excluded (P = 0.17). When the exposure criterion was based on distance to the transmission line, estimated ORs for all cancers combined and for leukemias increased with distances decreasing from 100 to 25 m. Those analyses incorporating data on measured or calculated EMFs demonstrated also an increase of overall cancer risk with higher cut-off points. However, regarding individual diagnoses, this finding was reflected only in the group of brain tumors. One possible explanation for the high degree of heterogeneity between studies--especially with respect to methods of exposure assessment and choice of the respective cutpoint relevant for an increase in cancer risk--could be that published cut-off points were not always chosen in advance, but were selected because in exploratory analyses the most striking results were obtained with these specific cut-off values. Should this speculation be true at least partially, any meta-analysis will yield a false-positive finding. Further results of comparable studies with strictly a priori planned analyses are necessary to properly investigate a possible link between EMF and childhood cancer.

摘要

在过去15年里,多项研究探讨了接触电磁场(EMF)与儿童癌症之间可能存在的关系。这些研究在接触评估方法和报告结果方面存在很大差异。接触评估方法从简单的视觉标准到昂贵且耗时的电通量密度测量或估算。额外的个体细化进一步阻碍了结果的可比性。我们尽可能考虑到研究之间的异质性,对迄今为止发表的数据进行了多项荟萃分析。我们特别感兴趣的是,通过比较不同接触阈值的分析,来研究潜在的剂量反应样关系。我们的荟萃分析表明,所有癌症诊断合并在一起与通过两级电线编码评估的EMF接触之间存在微弱关联(优势比,OR = 1.37,95%置信区间,CI:0.94 - 2.00)。基于这一标准,发现白血病基础有显著影响(OR = 1.66,CI:1.11 - 2.49),但中枢神经系统(CNS)肿瘤(OR = 1.5,CI:0.69 - 3.26)或淋巴瘤(OR = 1.32,CI:0.52 - 3.37)没有显著影响。当排除Wertheimer和Leeper最初进行的研究数据时,无法证实随着四级电线编码阶段增加总体癌症风险显著增加(P = 0.003)(P = 0.17)。当接触标准基于到输电线路的距离时,所有癌症合并以及白血病的估计OR随着距离从100米减少到25米而增加。那些纳入测量或计算的EMF数据的分析也表明,随着阈值升高总体癌症风险增加。然而,对于个体诊断,这一发现仅在脑肿瘤组中得到体现。研究之间高度异质性的一个可能解释——特别是在接触评估方法和与癌症风险增加相关的各自切点选择方面——可能是已发表的切点并非总是预先选定的,而是因为在探索性分析中使用这些特定切点值获得了最显著的结果。如果这种推测至少部分正确,任何荟萃分析都将产生假阳性结果。需要严格进行先验计划分析的可比研究的进一步结果,以恰当调查EMF与儿童癌症之间可能的联系。

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