Huang X M
Information Department, Plymouth Hospitals NHS Trust, Derriford, UK.
IMA J Math Appl Med Biol. 1995 Sep-Dec;12(3-4):345-53. doi: 10.1093/imammb/12.3-4.345.
In-patient bed requirement (or number of beds required to cope with the workload) is of prime importance for hospital management because of its direct implication for manpower requirement and therefore the costs. In-patient beds could be divided into emergency beds and elective beds, where the requirement for emergency beds will be affected by both patient length of stay distributions and the random patterns in which patients arrive. In this paper, the author extends the early results by Pike et al. (1963, Br. J. Prev. Soc. Med. 17, 172) so that day-of-week effect is introduced into the queuing model to evaluate the requirement of emergency beds. It is demonstrated that emergency bed occupancy on any specific day of the week follows a Poisson distribution.
住院床位需求(或应对工作量所需的床位数)对医院管理至关重要,因为它直接影响人力需求,进而影响成本。住院床位可分为急诊床位和择期床位,其中急诊床位的需求将受到患者住院时间分布和患者到达的随机模式的影响。在本文中,作者扩展了派克等人(1963年,《英国预防社会医学杂志》17卷,第172页)早期的研究结果,将星期效应引入排队模型,以评估急诊床位的需求。结果表明,一周中任何特定日子的急诊床位占用情况服从泊松分布。