Shappell S A, Wiegmann D A
Naval Air Force, U.S. Atlantic Fleet, Norfolk, VA 23511-2494, USA.
Aviat Space Environ Med. 1996 Jan;67(1):65-9.
The present study examined U.S. Naval aircraft mishap trends between January 1977 and December 1992 using all Class A, B, and C mishaps. Results of this investigation revealed that mishaps attributable to both human error and mechanical/environmental factors have declined steadily over the past 16 years, although mishaps attributed to human error have declined at a much slower rate. For those mishaps attributed to human error, differences were observed between single- and dual-piloted aircraft when phase-of-flight (takeoff, in-flight, landing) and time-of-day were evaluated. For single-piloted aircraft, in-flight mishaps constituted the highest proportion of mishaps during the day ( > 55%), while landing mishaps constituted the highest proportion of mishaps during the evening and night (43-65%). For dual-piloted aircraft, no consistent variation was evident for phase-of-flight and time-of-day. In-flight (approx. 55%) mishaps constituted the highest proportion of mishaps across all times of day, followed by landing (approx. 35%), and takeoff (approx. 10%) mishaps. These data support focused rather than global investigations of aviation mishaps.
本研究利用所有A、B和C类事故,对1977年1月至1992年12月期间美国海军飞机事故趋势进行了调查。该调查结果显示,在过去16年里,由人为失误和机械/环境因素导致的事故均呈稳步下降趋势,不过由人为失误导致的事故下降速度要慢得多。对于那些由人为失误导致的事故,在评估飞行阶段(起飞、飞行中、着陆)和一天中的时间时,单飞行员飞机和双飞行员飞机之间存在差异。对于单飞行员飞机,飞行中事故在白天占事故的比例最高(>55%),而着陆事故在傍晚和夜间占事故的比例最高(43 - 65%)。对于双飞行员飞机,飞行阶段和一天中的时间没有明显的一致变化。飞行中事故(约55%)在一天中的所有时间段占事故的比例最高,其次是着陆事故(约35%)和起飞事故(约10%)。这些数据支持对航空事故进行有针对性而非全面的调查。