Michael E, Bundy D A, Grenfell B T
Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, UK.
Parasitology. 1996 Apr;112 ( Pt 4):409-28. doi: 10.1017/s0031182000066646.
This paper estimates the global burden of lymphatic filariasis based on a review of the published literature on infection and disease surveys. A method for aggregating and projecting prevalence data from individual studies to national, regional and global levels, which also facilitates the estimation of gender and age-specific burdens, is presented. The method weights in favour of the larger, and hence presumbably more reliable, studies and relies on estimated empirical relationships between gender, age, infection and disease in order to correct studies with incomplete data. The results presented here suggest that although the overall prevalence of filariasis cases is 2.0% globally (approximately totalling 119 million cases), the disease continues to be of considerable local importance, particularly in India and Sub-Saharan Africa. Estimates by age and gender clearly show that, unlike other helminth infections, filariasis is mainly a disease of the adult and older age-classes and appears to be more prevalent in males. This work suggests that the derivation of more accurate estimates of the burden of filariasis will require a better understanding of both the epidemiology and the spatial aspects of infection and disease. It also suggests that filariasis is preventable based on a geographically targeted strategy for control.
本文基于对已发表的感染与疾病调查文献的综述,估算了淋巴丝虫病的全球负担。本文提出了一种将个体研究中的患病率数据汇总并推算至国家、区域和全球层面的方法,该方法还便于估算特定性别和年龄的负担。该方法对规模较大、因而可能更可靠的研究给予权重,并依靠性别、年龄、感染与疾病之间的经验关系估计值来校正数据不完整的研究。此处给出的结果表明,尽管丝虫病病例的全球总体患病率为2.0%(总计约1.19亿例),但该病在局部地区仍具有相当大的重要性,尤其是在印度和撒哈拉以南非洲。按年龄和性别进行的估算清楚地表明,与其他蠕虫感染不同,丝虫病主要是成年人及老年人群的疾病,且在男性中似乎更为普遍。这项研究表明,要得出更准确的丝虫病负担估算值,需要更好地了解感染与疾病的流行病学及空间特征。研究还表明,基于地理定位的控制策略,丝虫病是可预防的。