Tan K C, Low C K
Division of Actuarial Science and Insurance, Nanyang Business School, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore.
Singapore Med J. 1996 Aug;37(4):348-51.
This paper considers the contributions by age of the various major groups of deaths to the increase in life expectancy at birth between 1980 and 1990 for both sexes in Singapore. Sixteen cause groups were used in the study. The data were analysed using LIFETIME, a personal computer package with a wide variety of methods for mortality investigations. Respiratory diseases made the largest contribution to the increase in life expectancy for both sexes. In contrast, ischaemic heart disease made a negative contribution of 1% in the gain in female life expectancy but contributed 12% improvement for males. Life tables for Singaporean males and females in the year 2000 were projected by extrapolating the mortality trends observed in earlier periods. The calculations show that the life expectancy at birth in the year 2000 to be 74.72 years for males and 79.48 years for females.
本文探讨了1980年至1990年间，新加坡不同性别各类主要死因对出生时预期寿命增长的年龄贡献。该研究使用了16个死因类别。数据采用LIFETIME软件进行分析，这是一个用于死亡率调查的个人电脑程序包，具备多种分析方法。呼吸系统疾病对两性预期寿命增长的贡献最大。相比之下，缺血性心脏病对女性预期寿命增长的贡献为负1%，而对男性预期寿命增长的贡献为12%。通过外推早期观察到的死亡率趋势，预测了2000年新加坡男性和女性的生命表。计算结果表明，2000年出生时的预期寿命男性为74.72岁，女性为79.48岁。
