Kilmer R A, Smith A E, Shuman L J
Army War College, Carlisle, PA, USA.
J Soc Health Syst. 1997;5(3):63-79.
This paper describes a discrete event stochastic simulation of a hospital emergency department, and the development of a metamodel of that simulation. The metamodeling technique used is artificial neural networks, which are trained utilizing the output of the simulation. The performance of the neural network metamodel is compared to the simulation performance for estimating the mean and variance of patient time in the emergency department.
本文描述了医院急诊科的离散事件随机模拟,以及该模拟的元模型的开发。所使用的元建模技术是人工神经网络,利用模拟的输出对其进行训练。将神经网络元模型的性能与模拟性能进行比较,以估计急诊科患者停留时间的均值和方差。