Binstock R H
School of Medicine, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH 44106, USA.
Gerontologist. 1997 Feb;37(1):15-9. doi: 10.1093/geront/37.1.15.
Aggregate national exit poll data from the 1996 presidential election suggest that voters aged 60 and older were not influenced by age-related policy issues, such as Medicare, any more than younger voters were. Yet, state-level data provide a basis for conjecture (although not a conclusion) that such issues may have influenced the voting decisions of some older voters in 14 states. If so, however, the impact was in Clinton's favor in some states and Dole's favor in others. Now that the election is over, the short-term problem of Medicare Part A will be dealt with swiftly, but a bipartisan commission to deal with the program's long-term issues is problematic. The establishment of such a commission on Social Security is more likely. The President's response to the push by governors and congressional Republicans to turn Medicaid into a block grant program will indicate whether he will move at all to the left of the centrist political position that he assumed throughout 1996.
1996年总统大选的全国综合出口民调数据显示，60岁及以上的选民受与年龄相关的政策问题（如医疗保险）的影响并不比年轻选民更大。然而，州一级的数据为这样一种推测（尽管不是结论）提供了依据，即这些问题可能影响了14个州一些老年选民的投票决定。然而，如果真是这样，其影响在一些州对克林顿有利，在另一些州则对多尔有利。既然选举已经结束，医疗保险A部分的短期问题将迅速得到解决，但成立一个两党委员会来处理该计划的长期问题则存在问题。更有可能成立一个社会保障问题委员会。总统对州长们和国会共和党人将医疗补助计划转变为整笔拨款计划的推动所做出的回应，将表明他是否会从他在1996年全年所采取的中间派政治立场上向左移动。
