Rhine R J
Department of Psychology, University of California, Riverside 92521, USA.
Am J Primatol. 1997;41(2):87-101. doi: 10.1002/(SICI)1098-2345(1997)41:2<87::AID-AJP2>3.0.CO;2-V.
To determine reproductive success, it is necessary for the researcher to specify a criterion of success, such as the number of a parent's offspring living to the age of reproduction. A measurement model, which includes the researcher's choice of criterion, has been proposed to estimate the lifetime reproductive success (R) of long-lived animals from complete or incomplete knowledge of the reproductive life histories of mothers and the survival fates of offspring. This research uses R and data from female baboons of Mikumi National Park, Tanzania, as vehicles to investigate the relationship between reproductive success and several criteria. Secondarily, it also investigates the relationship between R and the number and rate of offspring production. Seven criteria of reproductive success, ranging in 12-month increments form 0 (birth) to 72 months of offspring life, were applied to 10.5 years of reproductive data from 61 Mikumi females. Theoretically, the best scenario for comparative purposes is an invariant R across different criteria; however, the mean R systematically increased as the criteria increased. This is more an inconvenience than a serious problem because high correlations indicate high predictability between Rs from pairs of criteria. R was modestly correlated with the rate of offspring production, indicating that rate can be employed as a rough index of reproductive success. The choice of a criterion is a trade off between theory, practicality, the strength of the criterion, and the effect of the choice upon sample representativeness and size.
为了确定繁殖成功率,研究人员必须明确成功的标准,比如亲本的后代活到繁殖年龄的数量。已提出一种测量模型,其中包括研究人员对标准的选择,以便根据对母亲繁殖生活史和后代存活命运的全面或不全面了解,来估计长寿动物的终生繁殖成功率(R)。本研究以坦桑尼亚米库米国家公园雌性狒狒的R值和数据为载体,探究繁殖成功率与几个标准之间的关系。其次,它还研究了R与后代生产数量和速率之间的关系。将繁殖成功率的七个标准应用于61只米库米雌性狒狒10.5年的繁殖数据,这些标准以12个月为增量,从后代出生到72个月不等。理论上,出于比较目的的最佳情况是不同标准下R值不变;然而,随着标准的增加,平均R值系统性地增加。这更多是不便而非严重问题,因为高相关性表明成对标准的R值之间具有高可预测性。R与后代生产速率呈适度相关,这表明速率可作为繁殖成功率的一个粗略指标。标准的选择是在理论、实用性、标准强度以及选择对样本代表性和规模的影响之间进行权衡。