Detsky A S, Naglie G, Krahn M D, Redelmeier D A, Naimark D
University of Toronto Programme in Clinical Epidemiology and Health Care Research (The Toronto Hospital and The Sunnybrook Health Science Centre Units), Ontario, Canada.
Med Decis Making. 1997 Apr-Jun;17(2):126-35. doi: 10.1177/0272989X9701700202.
This part of a five-part series covering practical issues in the performance of decision analysis outlines the basic strategies for building decision trees. The authors offer six recommendations for building and programming decision trees. Following these six recommendations will facilitate performance of the sensitivity analyses required to achieve two goals. The first is to find modeling or programming errors, a process known as "debugging" the tree. The second is to determine the robustness of the qualitative conclusions drawn from the analysis.
这是一个涵盖决策分析实践问题的五部分系列的一部分,概述了构建决策树的基本策略。作者为构建和编程决策树提供了六条建议。遵循这六条建议将有助于进行实现两个目标所需的敏感性分析。第一个目标是发现建模或编程错误,这一过程被称为对树进行“调试”。第二个目标是确定从分析中得出的定性结论的稳健性。