Schnorr T M, Steenland K
National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, Division of Surveillance, Cincinnati, OH 45226, USA.
Epidemiology. 1997 May;8(3):321-3. doi: 10.1097/00001648-199705000-00017.
For cohort studies, the Social Security Administration (SSA) traditionally has been the principal source of deaths that occurred before 1979. In 1988, the SSA abolished a system that provided a relatively complete accounting of deaths and replaced it with the Death Master File. We examined the completeness of the SSA Death Master File by comparing it with the U.S. Vital Statistics records and by searching the SSA Death Master File for known decedents from seven cohorts. Overall, only 53% of reported U.S. deaths and 75% of known deaths in our seven cohorts were included in the SSA Death Master File. Ascertainment was better after 1975 (89-95%). A re-analysis of two cohorts that excluded deaths before 1979 not found in the SSA Death Master File resulted in 20-35% decreases in both standardized mortality ratios and dose-response trends. Although the SSA system before 1988 provided relatively complete vital status information, the SSA Death Master File is inadequate for vital status determination. New cohorts with a substantial number of deaths before the inception of the National Death Index in 1979 will be most seriously affected.
对于队列研究,社会保障管理局(SSA)传统上一直是1979年以前死亡信息的主要来源。1988年,SSA废除了一个能提供相对完整死亡记录的系统,并用死亡主文件取而代之。我们通过将SSA死亡主文件与美国生命统计记录进行比较,并在SSA死亡主文件中搜索七个队列中已知的死者,来检验该文件的完整性。总体而言,SSA死亡主文件仅包含了美国报告死亡人数的53%以及我们七个队列中已知死亡人数的75%。1975年之后的信息确定情况较好(89%-95%)。对两个队列进行重新分析,排除了在SSA死亡主文件中未找到的1979年以前的死亡情况,结果标准化死亡率和剂量反应趋势均下降了20%-35%。尽管1988年以前的SSA系统提供了相对完整的生命状态信息,但SSA死亡主文件在确定生命状态方面并不充分。1979年国家死亡指数建立之前有大量死亡情况的新队列将受到最严重的影响。