Helbing D, Keltsch J, Molnár P
Institute of Theoretical Physics, University of Stuttgart, Germany.
Nature. 1997 Jul 3;388(6637):47-50. doi: 10.1038/40353.
Many human social phenomena, such as cooperation, the growth of settlements, traffic dynamics and pedestrian movement, appear to be accessible to mathematical descriptions that invoke self-organization. Here we develop a model of pedestrian motion to explore the evolution of trails in urban green spaces such as parks. Our aim is to address such questions as what the topological structures of these trail systems are, and whether optimal path systems can be predicted for urban planning. We use an 'active walker' model that takes into account pedestrian motion and orientation and the concomitant feedbacks with the surrounding environment. Such models have previously been applied to the study of complex structure formation in physical, chemical and biological systems. We find that our model is able to reproduce many of the observed large-scale spatial features of trail systems.
许多人类社会现象,如合作、聚居地的发展、交通动态和行人移动,似乎都可以用涉及自组织的数学描述来解释。在此,我们建立了一个行人运动模型,以探索公园等城市绿地中步道的演变。我们的目的是解决诸如这些步道系统的拓扑结构是什么,以及能否为城市规划预测出最优路径系统等问题。我们使用一种“主动步行者”模型,该模型考虑了行人的运动和方向以及与周围环境的相应反馈。此类模型此前已应用于物理、化学和生物系统中复杂结构形成的研究。我们发现我们的模型能够重现步道系统中许多观测到的大规模空间特征。