Morris M
Popul Trends. 1997 Autumn(89):37-48.
Shortly after preparing the re-based 1991 population estimates, the Office for National Statistics produced provisional population estimates by legal marital status (for England and Wales as a whole). These provisional estimates were calculated using a marital status distribution for 1991 that was updated from the 1981 Census. These estimates have now been revised to incorporate marital status information from the 1991 Census. This article outlines the options for re-basing the estimates, the method used, and assesses the effect of the revision on the rates of marriage, divorce and mortality by single year of age. The main differences between the provisional and final re-based estimates in 1991 are: estimates of widowed men and women are 7 per cent and 2 per cent higher, respectively, estimates of divorced men and women are 2 per cent and 3 per cent lower, re-marriage rates (amongst the divorced or widowed) for men 50-59 increased, and mortality rates for single and divorced men increased for those aged over 70.
在编制以新基准为基础的1991年人口估计数后不久，国家统计局公布了按法定婚姻状况划分的临时人口估计数（针对整个英格兰和威尔士）。这些临时估计数是根据从1981年人口普查更新而来的1991年婚姻状况分布计算得出的。现在这些估计数已进行修订，纳入了1991年人口普查的婚姻状况信息。本文概述了重新编制估计数的选项、所采用的方法，并评估了修订对按单一年龄计算的结婚率、离婚率和死亡率的影响。1991年临时和最终以新基准为基础的估计数之间的主要差异如下：丧偶男性和女性的估计数分别高出7%和2%，离婚男性和女性的估计数分别低2%和3%，50至59岁男性的再婚率（在离婚或丧偶者中）上升，70岁以上单身和离婚男性的死亡率上升。
