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An integration of hindsight bias and counterfactual thinking: decision-making and drug courier profiles.

作者信息

Robbennolt J K, Sobus M S

机构信息

Department of Psychology, University of Nebraska-Lincoln 68588, USA.

出版信息

Law Hum Behav. 1997 Oct;21(5):539-60. doi: 10.1023/a:1024879824307.

DOI:10.1023/a:1024879824307
PMID:9374606
Abstract

Counterfactual thinking and hindsight bias have each generated separate, substantial bodies of research and provided insight into some areas of legal decision-making. An investigation of the relationship between counterfactual thinking and hindsight bias in a situation in which both are implicated is presented in a legal decision-making context utilizing drug courier profiles and illegal search and seizure. The findings, which demonstrate each of these cognitive processes and show a pattern of results that supports an integrative relationship between them, are discussed in the contexts of social cognition and of legal decision-making. A suggested causal model of decision-making in this context is also presented. Specific implications of these findings for civil actions to remedy illegal searches are discussed.

摘要

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Mem Cognit. 2005 Jan;33(1):120-30. doi: 10.3758/bf03195302.