Tugwell P, Dennis D T, Weinstein A, Wells G, Shea B, Nichol G, Hayward R, Lightfoot R, Baker P, Steere A C
University of Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Ann Intern Med. 1997 Dec 15;127(12):1109-23. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-127-12-199712150-00011.
To provide a qualitative evaluation of the predictive value of the laboratory diagnosis of Lyme disease and to use the resultant data to formulate guidelines for clinical diagnosis.
A MEDLINE search of English-language articles or articles with English-language abstracts published from 1982 to 1996.
Sensitivity, specificity, and likelihood ratios were calculated, and a random-effects model was used to combine the proportions from the eligible studies. Prespecified criteria were used to determine which studies were eligible for analysis.
Laboratory testing in general is not clinically useful if the pretest probability of Lyme disease is less than 0.20 or greater than 0.80. When the pretest probability is 0.20 to 0.80, sequential testing with enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and Western blot is the most accurate method for ruling in or ruling out the possibility of Lyme disease.
Laboratory testing is recommended only in patients whose pretest probability of Lyme disease is 0.20 to 0.80. If the pretest probability is less than 0.20, testing will result in more false-positive results than true-positive results; a negative test result in this situation effectively rules out the disease.
对莱姆病实验室诊断的预测价值进行定性评估,并利用所得数据制定临床诊断指南。
检索1982年至1996年发表的英文文章或带有英文摘要的文章,通过MEDLINE进行检索。
计算敏感性、特异性和似然比,并使用随机效应模型合并符合条件研究中的比例。使用预先设定的标准来确定哪些研究符合分析条件。
如果莱姆病的验前概率小于0.20或大于0.80,一般来说实验室检测在临床上并无用处。当验前概率为0.20至0.80时,采用酶联免疫吸附测定和蛋白质印迹法进行序贯检测是判断莱姆病可能性最准确的方法。
仅建议对莱姆病验前概率为0.20至0.80的患者进行实验室检测。如果验前概率小于0.20,检测结果中假阳性结果会多于真阳性结果;在这种情况下,阴性检测结果可有效排除该病。