Parshkov E M, Chebotareva I V, Sokolov V A, Dallas C E
Medical Radiological Research Center of the Russian Academy of Medical Sciences, Obninsk, Kaluga Region, Russia.
Environ Health Perspect. 1997 Dec;105 Suppl 6(Suppl 6):1491-6. doi: 10.1289/ehp.97105s61491.
Beginning approximately 4 years after the Chernobyl nuclear accident a steady increase in the incidence of thyroid cancer was observed in children and adolescents of the Bryansk Oblast, which received the highest level of radionuclide contaminants in Russia. We examined the spatial relationship between the residence location of patients with identified thyroid cancer (0-18 years old at the time of the accident) and a number of geographic parameters to better account for the etiology of thyroid cancer spatial distribution. Geographic parameters analyzed included spatial distribution of 137Cs and 131I in soil, population demographics, measurements and reconstructions. of absorbed thyroid 131I doses in the population, and maps of major transportation arteries. An interesting finding is the lack of a consistent correlation between the spatial distribution of radionuclides in the soil and thyroid cancer incidence. Instead, most of the thyroid cancer cases were diagnosed in settlements situated on major railways and roads. Correlating population with thyroid cancer cases and transportation arteries reveals a much higher cancer rate on or near major roads and railways than at a distance from them, again independent of radionuclide soil concentration. There are other important factors, of course, that must be considered in future evaluations of this phenomenon. These include the influence of iodine endemic zones, genetic predisposition to thyroid cancer, and duration of residence time in contaminated areas. The feasibility of radionuclide transport on railways and roads is discussed, together with the vectors for transfer of the contaminants to the human population. Developing a model to reconstruct the radiation dose to the thyroid over time in this geographic region is proposed in light of the impact of transportation arteries. Specific studies are outlined to provide the data necessary to develop this model as well as to better characterize the feasibility and scientific validity of the contribution to human health effects of this transport factor. Transport factor refers to the transport of radionuclides on transportation arteries and the transfer of these agents to the human population residing in the vicinity of these arteries. If the impact on thyroid cancer of the transport of radionuclides on major railways and roads is indeed significant, a major reappraisal of the risk of large-scale radioactive release into the environment is necessary.
在切尔诺贝利核事故发生约4年后,布良斯克州的儿童和青少年甲状腺癌发病率开始稳步上升,该地区是俄罗斯放射性核素污染物污染水平最高的地区。我们研究了确诊甲状腺癌患者(事故发生时年龄在0 - 18岁)的居住地点与一些地理参数之间的空间关系,以便更好地解释甲状腺癌空间分布的病因。分析的地理参数包括土壤中137Cs和131I的空间分布、人口统计学、人群甲状腺吸收131I剂量的测量和重建以及主要交通动脉地图。一个有趣的发现是土壤中放射性核素的空间分布与甲状腺癌发病率之间缺乏一致的相关性。相反,大多数甲状腺癌病例是在位于主要铁路和道路上的定居点被诊断出来的。将人群与甲状腺癌病例以及交通动脉相关联发现,主要道路和铁路上或附近的癌症发病率远高于远离它们的地方,同样与土壤中放射性核素浓度无关。当然,在未来对这一现象的评估中还必须考虑其他重要因素。这些因素包括碘流行区的影响、甲状腺癌的遗传易感性以及在污染地区的居住时间。讨论了放射性核素在铁路和道路上运输的可行性,以及污染物向人群转移的载体。鉴于交通动脉的影响,提出了一个模型来重建该地理区域随时间变化的甲状腺辐射剂量。概述了具体研究,以提供开发该模型所需的数据,并更好地描述这一运输因素对人类健康影响的可行性和科学有效性。运输因素是指放射性核素在交通动脉上的运输以及这些物质向居住在这些动脉附近人群的转移。如果放射性核素在主要铁路和道路上的运输对甲状腺癌的影响确实很大,那么有必要对大规模放射性物质释放到环境中的风险进行重大重新评估。